Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Tropical Storm Danny Discussion 1








We have a new Tropical Storm and his name is Danny, he is currently moving in a WNW/NW direction heading toward the US.
Track

The models have been all over the place on this, we have the ECMWF/GGEM/UKMET/NOGAPS/GFDL heading for a Coastal storm and maybe even getting inland while we have the GFS/HRWF on the east side. The average of the models have this going near cape hatteras, then moving NNE/NE going near the coast.

Strengh

Models have this as a Tropical Storm or a Category 1 Hurricane at maximum speed.
I am predicting that this will be a coastal hugger.
Here are the percentages of a situation.
Mainly off coast:1 or 2 lanfalls:60%
Mainly inland:40%
Comments would be appreciated.


No comments:

Post a Comment