Second Forecast On Bill

Over the last 36 hours, Bill has went through good strenghening, we are now at a Category 2 Hurricane.

Over the last 24 hours, I have noticed the faster than forecasted speed of bill, which is giving it more time to move Westward before the trough gets to it while a ridge stays north. This evening's steering currents are helpful of a temporary westward movement.

Now for the track, I am expecting this to move westward for potentially up to 12 hours, before it starts turning WNW, in 24-36 hours, depending on the speed of the storm and trough, should start turning NW, and then should start heading N, most likely west of Bermuda, and then should move back out to sea. The reason I am using should is that if ths storm can move fast and south enough, this MAY go through the carribean area and into the GOM potentially. The strength of this should max out at category 3/4 strength. I have revised my map which you can see above, black line equals the best chance for a track in my opinion.

Here is the percentages for the situations.

Out to sea, east of Bermuda:5%

Between Bermuda and America:50%

East Coast Landfall/Effect:30%

Gulf Of Mexico:15%

As of right now, everyone from Florida to Maine should watch this one closely in the next coming days.

Comments would be appreciated.