Hi, it is Ryan with an update on Hurricane Bill.
As of 5PM AST
Winds: 90mph
Gusts: 105mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 969mb
Movement: WNW 16mph
I will have other info if any land is threatened.
I think the models are surely trending west. The weakness as mentioned was overestimated. The trough is quite deep in the GL and the trough axis, which with the 18z had the neutral at 108 to the slightest bit negative to me at 126. I am a good bit confident that the trough is not negative enough and therefore deep enough to prevent a strong shunting and recurve of the storm like TWC and the NHC are predicting somewhat. I think anyone from Cape Hatteras to Nova Scotia needs to keep their eyes peeled on this storm.
My software isn't working so I don't have the images. Computer=suckish right now.
Check for more updates by Chris, Nick, and/or me at mdwx.
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