Sunday, July 19, 2009

July Pattern Update

Here are my updated thoughts for the rest of the months.

So far, this July, we have been treated with Below average Temperatures due to a persistent Trough that was centered in the Great Lakes/Southeast Canada giving us Below Normal Temperatures, some have said that this may have been caused by the El Nino, and some by believing that this is ''The year without a Summer'' although the latter isn't true, we have had periods of Above average Temperatures this summer so far.

Anyways, for the rest of the July, I am forecasting this to potentially repeat itself and we will go through a Cooler than average rest of the month with periods where the cool will reload and we will get a couple of Average to Above average Temperature days. The CAR that has been talked about may try to move further west at times, but it shouldn't have that much of an affect on us.
Now, on to CPC's forecasts.

First off, the 6 to 10 day period.

This shows Below average Temperatures for the MA/NE.

Next, the 8 to 14 day period.

This shows a more zonal period, Below average Temperatures in the Northeast/New England, near average Temperatures in the Northern Mid Atlantic, and Above average Temperatures in the Southern Mid Atlantic.

Here is the NAO forecast.

This shows a return to near Neutral, which is normal for around average Temperatures.

Here is the AO forecast.

This also shows near Neutral.

So basically, for the rest of the month, I am expecting a Trough at times and I am expecting it to be Zonal at times, hence for the rest of the month I am going for Average to Below average Temperatures.

That is my discussion, comments would be appreciated.

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